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Southeast Asia · VNM

Vietnam

The factory floor of the next decade, adding a Germany’s-worth of load every few years.

importer

Oil production

0.2 mb/d

0.6 mb/d demand

Net oil

-0.4 mb/d

Import gap

Gas production

8 bcm

Net -1 bcm

O&G rent

1.1%

Share of GDP

Oil balance

Production versus demand, 2025, million barrels per day.

Production0.2 mb/d
Consumption0.6 mb/d

Gas balance

Production versus demand, 2025, billion cubic metres.

Production8.0 bcm
Consumption9.0 bcm

Proven oil

4 bn bbl

Gas reserves

0.6 tcm

Refining

0.4 mb/d

LNG

2 bcm import

Hydrocarbon mix

Oil versus gas in this country’s oil-and-gas demand (oil-equivalent).

  • Oil63%
  • Gas37%

Economy

FDI arrives only if the lights stay on. Coal plants and rooftop solar are racing; LNG terminals are the 2028–30 swing. Droughts on the Mekong still bite hydro.

GDP
$0.5 tn
Population
101.0 m
Oil intensity
0.4 bbl /$1k
Oil & gas rent
1.1% GDP
Hydrocarbon trade
3.4% GDP
Fiscal breakeven
$30 oil shock
-8.6 pp GDP
Club
Independent

Projected oil demand

Regional IEA WEO 2025 oil pathways applied to this country’s 2025 baseline. STEPS 2035 demand 0.7 mb/d (net -0.6) versus NZE 0.4 mb/d (net -0.3).

Scenario2025203020352050
Stated Policies0.60.60.70.9
Net Zero 20500.60.60.40.2
Current Policies0.60.60.70.9

Same region