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Europe · GBR

United Kingdom

A North Sea has-been with a North Sea wind boom. TES is shrinking; the grid is not.

balanced

Oil production

0.7 mb/d

1.3 mb/d demand

Net oil

-0.6 mb/d

Near balance

Gas production

32 bcm

Net -32 bcm

O&G rent

0.4%

Share of GDP

Oil balance

Production versus demand, 2025, million barrels per day.

Production0.7 mb/d
Consumption1.3 mb/d

Gas balance

Production versus demand, 2025, billion cubic metres.

Production32 bcm
Consumption64 bcm

Proven oil

2 bn bbl

Gas reserves

0.2 tcm

Refining

1.1 mb/d

LNG

15 bcm import

Hydrocarbon mix

Oil versus gas in this country’s oil-and-gas demand (oil-equivalent).

  • Oil36%
  • Gas64%

Inflows and outflows

What leaves. What arrives.

USGB
OutflowInflowCrudeLNG

United Kingdom outflows 0 kb/d crude, 0 bcm LNG. Inflows 0 kb/d crude, 20 bcm LNG.

Local crude

Dated Brent

$107.0

3 January 2026 · Maduro ousted

28 February 2026 · Iran war started

Still prices about 60% of seaborne crude. The marker the Strait actually writes.

All crude tapes and bpd flows

Mapped crude

Barrels per day.

This economy is not on the mapped seaborne board. The corridors that rewired in 2026 are on Flows.

LNG out

None mapped.

LNG in

  • United States20 bcm+6 bcm
Open the flow map

Economy

Household energy bills are still political. Wind cannibalises wholesale prices then needs gas (or interconnectors) at 7pm. Fiscal oil rents are gone; the new rent is offshore lease auctions.

GDP
$3.7 tn
Population
69.0 m
Oil intensity
0.1 bbl /$1k
Oil & gas rent
0.4% GDP
Hydrocarbon trade
1.2% GDP
Fiscal breakeven
$30 oil shock
-1.8 pp GDP
Club
Independent

Projected oil demand

Regional IEA WEO 2025 oil pathways applied to this country’s 2025 baseline. STEPS 2035 demand 1.1 mb/d (net -0.5) versus NZE 0.6 mb/d (net -0.3).

Scenario2025203020352050
Stated Policies1.31.21.10.8
Net Zero 20501.31.00.60.2
Current Policies1.31.21.10.9

Same region