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Europe · NOR

Norway

Europe’s battery and Europe’s gas field. Almost all domestic power is hydro; almost all export value is hydrocarbons.

exporter

Oil production

2.0 mb/d

0.2 mb/d demand

Net oil

+1.8 mb/d

Export surplus

Gas production

125 bcm

Net +120 bcm

O&G rent

14.0%

Fiscal breakeven $40

Oil balance

Production versus demand, 2025, million barrels per day.

Production2.0 mb/d
Consumption0.2 mb/d

Gas balance

Production versus demand, 2025, billion cubic metres.

Production125 bcm
Consumption5.0 bcm

Proven oil

8 bn bbl

Gas reserves

1.5 tcm

Refining

0.3 mb/d

LNG

6 bcm export

Hydrocarbon mix

Oil versus gas in this country’s oil-and-gas demand (oil-equivalent).

  • Oil55%
  • Gas45%

Inflows and outflows

What leaves. What arrives.

NONL
OutflowInflowCrudeLNG

Norway outflows 1.64 mb/d crude, 0 bcm LNG. Inflows 0 kb/d crude, 0 bcm LNG.

Local crude

Dated Brent

$107.0

3 January 2026 · Maduro ousted

28 February 2026 · Iran war started

Still prices about 60% of seaborne crude. The marker the Strait actually writes.

All crude tapes and bpd flows

Mapped crude

Barrels per day.

Outbound

  • Europe (ARA)1.64 mb/d+60 kb/d

Inbound

None mapped.

Open the flow map

Economy

The sovereign fund is the energy transition. Troll and new Barents barrels still matter to EU security of supply. Domestic power prices now couple to the continent via cables — a political sore.

GDP
$0.5 tn
Population
5.6 m
Oil intensity
0.2 bbl /$1k
Oil & gas rent
14.0% GDP
Hydrocarbon trade
-18.0% GDP
Fiscal breakeven
$40 /bbl
$30 oil shock
+39.8 pp GDP
Club
Independent

Projected oil demand

Regional IEA WEO 2025 oil pathways applied to this country’s 2025 baseline. STEPS 2035 demand 0.2 mb/d (net +1.4) versus NZE 0.1 mb/d (net +0.7).

Scenario2025203020352050
Stated Policies0.20.20.20.1
Net Zero 20500.20.20.10.0
Current Policies0.20.20.20.1

Same region