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Europe · UKR

Ukraine

A nuclear-and-coal system under attack. Generation, transmission and storage are now dual-use infrastructure.

importer

Oil production

0.0 mb/d

0.2 mb/d demand

Net oil

-0.2 mb/d

Import gap

Gas production

18 bcm

Net -2 bcm

O&G rent

0.6%

Share of GDP

Oil balance

Production versus demand, 2025, million barrels per day.

Production0.0 mb/d
Consumption0.2 mb/d

Gas balance

Production versus demand, 2025, billion cubic metres.

Production18 bcm
Consumption20 bcm

Proven oil

0 bn bbl

Gas reserves

0.9 tcm

Refining

0.1 mb/d

LNG

No LNG

Hydrocarbon mix

Oil versus gas in this country’s oil-and-gas demand (oil-equivalent).

  • Oil24%
  • Gas76%

Economy

Winter capacity is a war economy. EU integration of the power market is the reconstruction bet. Gas transit rent from Russia is gone.

GDP
$0.2 tn
Population
37.0 m
Oil intensity
0.4 bbl /$1k
Oil & gas rent
0.6% GDP
Hydrocarbon trade
3.5% GDP
Fiscal breakeven
$30 oil shock
-10.4 pp GDP
Club
Independent

Projected oil demand

Regional IEA WEO 2025 oil pathways applied to this country’s 2025 baseline. STEPS 2035 demand 0.2 mb/d (net -0.1) versus NZE 0.1 mb/d (net -0.1).

Scenario2025203020352050
Stated Policies0.20.20.20.1
Net Zero 20500.20.20.10.0
Current Policies0.20.20.20.1

Same region