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Middle East · KWT · OPEC

Kuwait

A high-burn oil system. Summer air-conditioning still drinks crude.

exporter

Oil production

2.6 mb/d

0.5 mb/d demand

Net oil

+2.1 mb/d

Export surplus

Gas production

18 bcm

Net -6 bcm

O&G rent

38.0%

Fiscal breakeven $70

Oil balance

Production versus demand, 2025, million barrels per day.

Production2.6 mb/d
Consumption0.5 mb/d

Gas balance

Production versus demand, 2025, billion cubic metres.

Production18 bcm
Consumption24 bcm

Proven oil

101 bn bbl

Gas reserves

1.8 tcm

Refining

1.4 mb/d

LNG

6 bcm import

Hydrocarbon mix

Oil versus gas in this country’s oil-and-gas demand (oil-equivalent).

  • Oil37%
  • Gas63%

Inflows and outflows

What leaves. What arrives.

KWCN
OutflowInflowCrudeLNG

Kuwait outflows 260 kb/d crude, 0 bcm LNG. Inflows 0 kb/d crude, 0 bcm LNG.

Local crude

Priced off the waterborne tape.

No local futures contract on this board. Brent, Dubai and WTI still set the netback. Open the flows desk for the markers that moved when Maduro was ousted and when the Iran war started.

Crude flows

Mapped crude

Barrels per day.

Outbound

  • China260 kb/d380 kb/d

Inbound

None mapped.

Open the flow map

Economy

Fiscal breakeven sits with Saudi’s. LNG imports to meet peak power are a political embarrassment for a producer. Al-Zour is the downstream hedge.

GDP
$0.2 tn
Population
4.9 m
Oil intensity
1.1 bbl /$1k
Oil & gas rent
38.0% GDP
Hydrocarbon trade
-26.0% GDP
Fiscal breakeven
$70 /bbl
$30 oil shock
+143.6 pp GDP
Club
OPEC

Projected oil demand

Regional IEA WEO 2025 oil pathways applied to this country’s 2025 baseline. STEPS 2035 demand 0.6 mb/d (net +2.2) versus NZE 0.3 mb/d (net +1.0).

Scenario2025203020352050
Stated Policies0.50.50.60.6
Net Zero 20500.50.50.30.1
Current Policies0.50.50.60.7

Same region